The report found that if the plans submitted by nations around the world are followed, global warming will be limited to between 2.3 degrees Celsius and 2.5 degrees Celsius, or 4.14 and 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit.
That 2.3 to 2.5 degree estimate is down from last year’s report, under which national plans would have resulted in 2.6 to 2.8 degrees Celsius of warming.
If actual policies are followed, which tend to fall short of national goals, the world is expected to warm by 2.8 Celsius, or 5.04 degrees Fahrenheit.
That warming is considered an average temperature on the Earth’s surface: The temperature change experienced on land may be higher.
Under the Paris Agreement, countries around the world have called for limiting warming to 2 degrees Celsius as part of an effort to limit the worsening extreme weather caused by climate change.
The report comes as the Trump administration is poised to withdraw from the Paris Agreement and will be decoupled from its commitment in next year’s report, as the withdrawal will become effective next year.
Read more at TheHill.com.